基于DGM(1,1)模型的甘肃省经济发展水平预测研究
作者:
作者单位:

甘肃省农牧厅外资项目管理办公室

作者简介:

段淇斌,男,研究员,主要研究方向为农业经济。

通讯作者:

中图分类号:

F224

基金项目:


Study on Prediction of Economic Development Level in Gansu Province Based on DGM(1,1) Model
Author:
Affiliation:

Foreign Project Management Office,Gansu Provincial Department of Agriculture and Animal Husbandry

Fund Project:

  • 摘要
  • |
  • 图/表
  • |
  • 访问统计
  • |
  • 参考文献
  • |
  • 相似文献
  • |
  • 引证文献
  • |
  • 资源附件
  • |
  • 文章评论
    摘要:

    经济预测是经济决策的基础,合理的经济预测对经济的久远发展有着重要的作用,且涉及到经济结构、产业布局等一系列问题。在建立甘肃省经济发展水平指标体系的基础上,以原始数据为依据,采用DGM(1,1)模型对2015-2025年甘肃省的经济发展水平进行预测。结果显示,DGM(1,1)模型能够很好地拟合经济发展状况,甘肃省各项经济指标均朝着良好方向发展,经济发展水平将逐年提高。

    Abstract:

    Economic prediction is the foundation of economic decision-making. Reasonable economic prediction, related to a series of problems such as economic structure and industrial layout, plays an important role in the long-term development of economy. Therefore, the prediction of the economic development trend of Gansu Province in the next few years can provide a decision-making basis for the development of economic development strategy. Based on the establishment of the index system of Gansu Province economic development, the article, referring to the original data, predicts the economic development level of Gansu Province during the 2015-2025 period with DGM (1,1) model. The results show that the DGM(1,1) model can fit the economic development well, that all indexes develop toward the favorable direction, and that the level of economic development increases year by year.

    参考文献
    相似文献
    引证文献
引用本文
分享
文章指标
  • 点击次数:
  • 下载次数:
  • HTML阅读次数:
  • 引用次数:
历史
  • 收稿日期:
  • 最后修改日期:
  • 录用日期:
  • 在线发布日期: 2023-10-25
  • 出版日期: