The industry transfer viscous factors are incorporated into the production efficiency analysis framework,and SFA is used in analysis of the manufacturing industry production efficiency in Jiangsu Province. The results shows that: because of the influence of industry transfer viscous, the production efficiency of manufacturing industry in Jiangsu Province is still high, reaching 69.48%,with a promotion space of 30.52%,and it increases by cubic curves in the study interval. Industries prefer localization development, lacking motivation of transferring to the central and western regions. Large-scale industrial transfer can happen only when the improvement of industrial production efficiency was drained. Thus, the time is forecasted when the improvement of industrial production efficiency is drained. In the end,this paper points out the 20 manufacturing industries at a critical development stage in Jiangsu Province.