“一带一路”倡议下中国对东盟油气投资风险分析
作者:
作者单位:

东北石油大学经济管理学院

作者简介:

张琼,女,博士,副教授,主要研究方向为石油工程管理。

通讯作者:

中图分类号:

F416.2

基金项目:

国家社会科学基金资助项目(19BGL010)


Risk Analysis of China's Oil and Gas Investment in ASEAN under the Belt and Road Initiative
Author:
Affiliation:

School of Economics and Management, Northeast Petroleum University

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    摘要:

    基于2000—2020年东盟国家的面板数据,构建油气投资风险评价指标,运用基于奇异值分解的多评价结论集结方法和泰尔指数模型,从而对东盟国家的油气投资风险综合评价并对油气投资风险差异进行测度。研究结果显示:东盟国家的油气投资风险进行整体呈下降趋势,但东盟国家之间的油气投资风险状况出现两级分化。从地区角度来看,东盟地区的油气投资差异主要以地区内部差异为主,而且地区内部油气投资风险差异逐渐扩大。据此,中国油气企业在东盟国家开展投资时应建立风险预警机制,重视高风险国家油气投资状况,同时充分借助“一带一路”平台加强与东盟国家之间的油气投资项目合作。

    Abstract:

    Based on the panel data of ASEAN countries from 2000 to 2020, this paper constructs the indicator of oil and gas investment risk, uses Singular value decomposition and Theil index model to evaluate the risk of oil and gas investment in ASEAN countries and measure the difference in risk of oil and gas investment in ASEAN. The research results show that the overall risk of oil and gas investment in ASEAN countries is on a downward trend, but the risk of oil and gas investment among ASEAN countries has a two-level divergence. From a regional perspective, the difference in oil and gas investment in the ASEAN region is mainly based on intra-regional differences, and the differences in oil and gas investment risks within the region are gradually ex? panding. Therefore, Chinese oil and gas companies should establish a risk warning mechanism when investing in ASEAN countries; pay attention to the oil and gas investment status of high-risk countries; make full use of the Belt and Road platform to strengthen cooperation in oil and gas investment projects with ASEAN countries.

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  • 在线发布日期: 2023-03-07
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